The Most Accurate Presidential Poll?

The IBD/TIPP poll — a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence (TIPP)...considered the most accurate tracking poll in recent Presidential election history:

BEFORE DEBATE #3:

"After more than a week of blistering attacks from Democrats, celebrities and the press, Donald Trump has managed to pull ahead of Hillary Clinton by a 1.3 percentage point margin — 41.3% to 40% — in a four-way matchup, according to the new IBD/TIPP poll released today."

AFTER DEBATE #3:

"Donald Trump held onto a 1-point, 41%-40% lead over Hillary Clinton as the IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll showed little impact on either candidate after their third and final presidential debate Wednesday night. Libertarian Gary Johnson ticked up 1 point to 8%, while the Green Party's Jill Stein dropped a point to 4%...With a bit more than two weeks until the election, just under 12% of respondents said they still weren't sure which candidate they favored.
...
"...despite a media and political uproar over Trump's comments -- The New York Times' piece Thursday ran under the headline "Donald Trump Vs. American Democracy," while the Huffington Post's shouted "Trump's Shocking Answer On Respecting Election Results Is The Only Debate Moment That Matters" -- voters didn't appear to agree. The IBD/TIPP poll showed little if any erosion in Trump's support.
...
"One key fact that has shown up in the three days of IBD/TIPP polling is that Trump holds a substantial 42% to 31% advantage over Clinton among Independent voters. Independents, who in general tend to be socially liberal but fiscally conservative, now make up about 34% of the electorate, IBD/TIPP data show...Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson, who in the most recent poll garners 13% of the Independent vote, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein, who takes 5%, seem to have siphoned off more Independent support from Hillary than from Trump."

Charles Ortel, a highly regarded Wall Street financial expert, took a look at the Clinton Foundation's books over the last year or so and this week published his partial conclusion: "To informed analysts, the Clinton Foundation appears to be a rogue charity that has neither been organized nor operated lawfully from inception in October 1997 to date ... it is a case study in international charity fraud, of mammoth proportions."

Our polling shows Americans would definitely support such a move, either before or after the election. According to IBD/TIPP, nearly two-thirds (63%) think a special prosecutor should be appointed...to look into both the family foundation and the emails [Clinton's repeated violations of the law and a shocking disregard for the minimal ethics requirements of government officials]. And 88% of Republicans and 68% of Independents want a special prosecutor to look into the possible misconduct. The sentiment that something wrong has taken place is overwhelming.

Perhaps more significantly, of the 72% who are following [the ups and downs of the Clinton Foundation], three-fourths — or 77% -- believe that donors to the Clinton Foundation received special access and favors from the State Department while Hillary Clinton was secretary of state from 2009 to 2013.

And there is, surprisingly, bipartisan agreement on this: Some 55% of Democrats agree that the Clintons used public office to dispense favors to their foundation's friends.

Or maybe you're rather read Rasmussen's poll after the third debate:

Friday, October 21, 2016

Early results from their final debate are in, and...the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with a 43% to 41% lead over his Democratic rival. Five percent (5%) favor Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, while Green Party nominee Jill Stein earns three percent (3%) support.

Other interesting finds from that poll and other Rasmussen links there:

1. "Mitt Romney earned 17% of the black vote in 2012, and Trump appears to be running near that level."
2. "Voters now rate a candidate's business past as more important to their vote than experience in government."
3. "A new high of 88% of voters now say they are certain how they will vote in this election. Among these voters, it’s Trump 48%, Clinton 47%, Johnson three percent (3%) and Stein two percent (2%)."
4. Only "38% of Likely U.S. Voters believe serving as secretary of State is Clinton’s most important professional accomplishment." (that was the largest bloc; the next largest bloc was the 23% who are undecided about what is her most important accomplishment)